{"id":3223,"date":"2020-03-04T09:20:50","date_gmt":"2020-03-04T09:20:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inscx.com\/trading\/?p=3223"},"modified":"2020-03-04T09:22:03","modified_gmt":"2020-03-04T09:22:03","slug":"emea-weekly-base-oil-price-report-04-03-20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inscx.com\/trading\/2020\/03\/04\/emea-weekly-base-oil-price-report-04-03-20\/","title":{"rendered":"EMEA Weekly Base Oil Price Report 04.03.20"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

EMEA Base Oil Price Report<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the Covid-19 coronavirus spreads, base oil markets are anxiously awaiting some form of respite. Markets are slowing in many areas with demand for finished lubricants expected to fall further over the coming months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Crude prices have retreated to new lows \nfollowing alarm bells ringing for major economies like China and Japan. \nDated deliveries of Brent crude had almost crashed through the $50 mark,\n but responded on Monday to post at $51.70 per barrel for May front \nmonth. West Texas Intermediate crude has also fallen and is now at \n$46.75\/bbl, still for April front month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ICE LS Gas Oil has\n dropped drastically to a new level of $456 per metric ton for March \nfront month settlement, around $33\/t lower than last reported. These \nprices were obtained from London ICE trading late Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Europe<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

European Group I export prices are hanging on to current levels, but \nthe pressure is building with the collapse of crude and petroleum \nproduct prices. Buyers are suggesting that prices should reflect the \nlower demand and also the lower fundamentals, maybe pressuring sellers \nto offer slightly lower numbers this week. Until more general price \nmovements are sustained, prices are maintained at the moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Levels\n for solvent neutral 150 are now established between $565\/t-$590\/t with \nSN500 at $575\/t-$600\/t. Bright stock is stable and remains at \n$655\/t-$685\/t. These levels refer to cargo-sized parcels of at least \n2,000 tons, sold on an FOB basis from European supply points, always \nsubject to availability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regional European Group I prices are reported as stable,\n with few signs of any lower prices being shown for March. If markets \nstart showing lower prices this may affect levels for next month, but at\n the moment stability is the name of the game. Some buyers have \nrequested that lower prices be considered for material to be collected \nor delivered during March. Sellers appear to be sticking to their guns \nat the moment, and have confirmed the same price levels as for February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Producers\n are commenting that the lower crude and feedstock prices have not yet \nfiltered down to output, therefore it may be some time before the \neffects of lower fundamentals are felt in the marketplace. They also add\n the comment that the lower raw material costs may only be a temporary \nblip, and that crude prices may start to firm on the back of lower \ninventories around the globe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The price differential between domestic prices and those \napplying to exports remains unchanged this week with the differential \nassessed at \u20ac85\/t-\u20ac110\/t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With the Group II quota limits being \nreached very soon, there are fears that there could be the formation of a\n two-tier market, with some smaller buyers having to pay higher prices \nreflecting the import duty element which can be as much as $35\/t. Larger\n buyers who are contracted with major suppliers will possibly not pay \nhigher prices, since these suppliers wish to protect market share at all\n costs, and will continue to compete with market prices, taking account \nof any duty out of margins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The establishment of a \u201csecond\u201d higher\n prices market will be punitive to smaller buyers who are reliant on \nquantities of imported Group II grades which come into the EU in flexies\n from countries which do not enjoy free-trade status. Inevitably, some \nhave already commented that finished lubricant prices will have to rise \nto take account of the increase for base oil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There appears to be a\n rise in offers for material coming from South Korea where the \ntraditional markets into China and Japan have been badly affected by the\n Covid-19 spread. FCA levels for the moment are maintained, although \nsome lower offer prices have been heard but not confirmed. Assessments \nare at $755\/t-$800\/t (\u20ac690\/t-\u20ac755\/t) for the two lighter viscosity \ngrades (150 neutral and 220N), with higher viscosity grades (500N and \n600N) at $790\/t-$825\/t (\u20ac730\/t-\u20ac755\/t).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These prices apply to \nGroup II oils with full slates of finished lubricant approvals as well \nas those with partial slates or no approvals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Group III European \nmarkets are once again being exposed to what could develop into a \npotential oversupply scenario with quantities being offered from sources\n in the Far East. Sellers are trying to find alternative outlets to \nreplace existing markets which simply are not there at the moment due to\n the virus situation. With no duty tariff applicable to Group III base \nstocks, the European markets are wide open to surplus production, and \nultimately this may cause prices to slide, although this has not \nhappened as yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prices are maintained this week with partly \napproved Group III base oils in a range at \u20ac715\/t-\u20ac725\/t for 4 \ncentiStoke grades, with 6 cSt and 8 cSt base oils between \u20ac720\/t-\u20ac730\/t.\n Prices refer to FCA supplies ex Northwestern European hubs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prices\n for European OEM fully approved Group III base oils are reassessed at \n\u20ac760\/t-\u20ac825\/t for 4 centiStoke base oils, with 6 cSt grades at \n\u20ac800\/t-\u20ac855\/t and 8 cSt oils at \u20ac775\/t-\u20ac860\/t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Baltic and Black Seas<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Baltic\n traders have confirmed that another large parcel of Russian export \ngrades was booked and will load for receivers in Apapa, Nigeria. The \ncargo of around 15,000 tons appears to have loaded out of Kaliningrad, \nwhich has no draft restrictions to load a large vessel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is \nthe previous large enquiry, confirmed as firm towards the end of last \nweek. Due to a relatively tight market, prices seemed to hold at higher \nlevels, although some offers showed lower levels that may start to come \ninto the Baltic market if supplies start to lengthen. Sellers are still \nconfident that prices will hold up since availabilities are only showing\n for April loading from resellers and distributors, with no prompt \nbarrels available on a spot basis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The enquiry for Angola is still\n out in the shipping markets, although this week may bring news that \nthis was either confirmed or cancelled.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cargoes were nominated to \nload for Antwerp-Rotterdam-Amsterdam and the United Kingdom out of the \nBaltic, with a mixture of contracted supplies and spot deals arranged \nsome time back in January.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prices in the Baltic remain unaltered\n this week, although there are some signs that this market may follow \nthe main European drift if the virus situation bites into regional \ndemand. SN150 is around $525\/t-$545\/t with SN500 also in the same range.\n SN150, SN500 and bright stock loading out of Gdansk are indicated \nbetween $565\/t-$595\/t in respect of the neutrals, with bright stock \nbetween $645\/t-$670\/t FOB, slightly lower at the top end of the ranges.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\n further Kavkaz, Russia, STS cargo is arranged for loading during the \nfirst half of March. At this stage the destination remains unclear, \nalthough it is possible that this is a follow-on cargo for receivers in \nUnited Arab Emirates. The balance may be delivered into Singapore, but \nnews is that that market has lost much of its impetus, and the cargo may\n be surplus to requirements right now. More information is sought on the\n possible outcome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

STS prices in respect of Russian export grades \nare assessed at around $460\/t-$475\/t in respect of SN500, with smaller \nparcels of SN150 at around $460\/t. Offers of Russian export barrels to \nTurkish buyers in Gebze, Turkey and Derince are indicated at around \n$530\/t in respect of SN500, with SN150 at $520\/t CIF. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mediterranean\n offers from Greek sellers are assessed at $620\/t in respect of SN150 \nwith SN500 at $625\/t basis CIF Derince. SN600 is indicated at around \n$630\/t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Within Turkey, Group II and Group III base oils are \noffered on an ex-tank basis and prices are maintained with selling \nlevels indicated between $795\/t-$825\/t in respect of the low and high \nvis Group II grades, with partly-approved Group III base oils between \n$810\/t-$845\/t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Middle East Gulf<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Red Sea \nshipping reports show a number of large cargoes of Group I and Group II \nbase oils loading out of Yanbu and Jeddah for receivers in Pakistan, \nFujairah and Sharjah. There are also reports of two large cargoes for \nIndian buyers, one cargo going into Mumbai anchorage and another \ndischarging in Chennai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The part-cargo from Kavkaz, Russia, in the\n Black Sea will discharge during the second half of March on arrival \ninto Hamriyah. Price in respect of SN500 is indicated at around $548\/t \nCIF U.A.E.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With the arbitrage firmly closed for Group I supplies \nfrom Europe going into U.A.E., receivers are dependent on Black Sea \nbarrels and also a dribble of supplies coming out of Iran. Local sources\n in U.A.E. confirm that small vessels are bringing SN500 and SN150 from \nIranian ports, and discharging into shore tanks in Sharjah and Ras al \nKhaima. Prices are put at around $565\/t in respect of SN500, CFR U.A.E.,\n and some material was transshipped to the west coast of Indian ports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Additional Group I base oils are supplied from Saudi Arabia into Jebel Ali, Fujairah and Sharjah on a regular contract basis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The\n turnaround at Al Ruwais refinery is underway to replace catalyst in the\n cracker. Group III and Group II base oil availability is not affected \nsince adequate stocks are retained to service export markets. The extent\n of the effects of the coronavirus on sales of Group III base oils from \nthe U.A.E. and Bahrain has not been fully assessed as yet, and may only \nbe reflected after some time. China is obviously a significant market \nfor both Adnoc<\/a> and Bapco<\/a>, and the economic slowdown in that region will have a marked effect on sales of Group III base oils.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Group\n III base oil exports from Middle East Gulf sources in Al Ruwais and \nSitra have notional FOB prices maintained. FOB levels are assessed \nbetween $630\/t-$675\/t in respect of partly-approved range of Group III \nbase oils selling into Europe, U.S., India and the Far East. Eight cSt \ngrades that are sold into Indian and Far Eastern locations will have \nlower FOB prices due to local selling prices being discounted in those \nregions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cNexbase\u201d branded Group III base oils which are exported \nfrom Sitra refinery in Bahrain, and marketed by Neste, will have higher \nFOB rates, with notional netbacks between $745\/t-$810\/t in respect of \nthe three main Group III grades, 4 centiStoke, 6 cSt and 8 cSt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notional\n FOB prices on a netback basis are based on prices derived and \ninformally assessed from regional selling levels, less marketing, \nhandling and freight costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Group II base oils are delivered in \nlarge quantities on a bulk basis to distributors in U.A.E. The range of \ngrades is then resold to smaller receivers and blending operators \nthroughout the Middle East Gulf regions, and these Group II grades have \nselling price levels indicated on an FCA basis out of U.A.E. hub storage\n between $785\/t-$920\/t in respect of the light vis grades 100N\/150N\/ \n220N, and 500N\/600N between $810\/t-$925\/t. These prices are based on FOB\n numbers from Far East, Red Sea and U.S. Gulf, plus freight, storage and\n handling, and distributor overheads and margin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Africa<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cross-Mediterranean\n and intra-Mediterranean traffic from European hubs into North African \nports are expanding again, with cargoes assigned for Mohammedia from \nItaly and Spain, and  supplies of bright stock from the Red Sea into \nAlexandria in Egypt. The announcement of new supply contract for the \nsecond quarter is due this week, with the incumbent supplier expected to\n retain the business. European suppliers and traders are not too keen on\n this trade at the moment, since it involves a large quantity and sale \nof bright stock alone. Also, Israeli buyers are looking for all three \ntypes of base oil, with Group I offered from Italy, along with Group II \nand Group III from Spain<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nigerian buyers are back in the market \nlooking for future cargoes of Group I base oils from either traders \nsourcing from the Baltic or alternative sellers moving Group I cargoes \nfrom the U.S. Gulf or U.S. Atlantic Coast. With a further parcel \nconfirmed from the Baltic, buyers are now holding back on making further\n decisions for Group I cargoes. They expect that with crude and \nfeedstock prices falling, a chance may exist that base oil numbers will \nstart to weaken as a result of poorer demand and lower raw material \ncosts. Nigerian receivers are sitting on the fence, trying to judge \ntheir timing for the next round of cargoes.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prices in respect of\n API Group I base oils imported through Apapa are maintained this week \nwith CFR\/CIF levels indicated between $645\/t-$660\/t in respect of SN150,\n SN500 is placed between $650\/t-$665\/t, with bright stock between \n$745\/t-$760\/t. Blended SN900 is maintained between $670\/t-$685\/t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prices are in respect of cargoes of minimum 10,000 tons being delivered into Apapa port in Lagos, Nigeria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ray Masson is director of Pumacrown Ltd., a trader and broker of petroleum products in London, U.K. Contact him directly at <\/em>pumacrown@email.com<\/em><\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EMEA Base Oil Price Report As the Covid-19 coronavirus spreads, base oil markets are anxiously awaiting some form of respite. Markets are slowing in many areas with demand for finished lubricants expected to fall further over the coming months. Crude prices have retreated to new lows following alarm bells ringing for major economies like China … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “EMEA Weekly Base Oil Price Report 04.03.20”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3223","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nEMEA Weekly Base Oil Price Report 04.03.20 - INSCX Live Trading Platform<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/inscx.com\/trading\/2020\/03\/04\/emea-weekly-base-oil-price-report-04-03-20\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EMEA Weekly Base Oil Price Report 04.03.20 - INSCX Live Trading Platform\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"EMEA Base Oil Price Report As the Covid-19 coronavirus spreads, base oil markets are anxiously awaiting some form of respite. 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